Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.628130 0.783887 0.950432 1.139918 1.347829 1.567504 1.815708
2025-03-02 0.367015 0.567546 0.803693 1.093011 1.430028 1.803660 2.243192
2025-03-09 0.223234 0.427343 0.689713 1.030521 1.444807 1.918870 2.490608
2025-03-16 0.136954 0.335604 0.615550 0.999378 1.483164 2.050952 2.748907
2025-03-23 0.093677 0.291052 0.592336 1.023042 1.580278 2.245777 3.074307
2025-03-30 0.057947 0.245031 0.558333 1.026049 1.646804 2.400433 3.349685
2025-04-06 0.029310 0.196398 0.511306 1.004769 1.677490 2.507886 3.565943
2025-04-13 0.018844 0.182117 0.515167 1.052330 1.795797 2.721917 3.909274
2025-04-20 0.011395 0.169964 0.520099 1.099916 1.913208 2.934318 4.250403
2025-04-27 0.006745 0.162190 0.530988 1.155288 2.040470 3.158813 4.606221
2025-05-04 0.005256 0.166985 0.564594 1.244616 2.213573 3.441227 5.033085
2025-05-11 0.002539 0.159636 0.574196 1.297058 2.336488 3.660267 5.382612
2025-05-18 0.000173 0.138997 0.558143 1.313667 2.416623 3.833235 5.686519
2025-05-25 NaN 0.100793 0.498463 1.258661 2.396865 3.878994 5.835127
2025-06-01 NaN 0.067187 0.436216 1.192396 2.356319 3.894089 5.942205
2025-06-08 NaN 0.046647 0.396406 1.158406 2.358064 3.961317 6.111763
2025-06-15 NaN 0.039559 0.391802 1.184081 2.445358 4.140297 6.421371
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030118 0.375459 1.187306 2.498949 4.274316 6.674034
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019215 0.346200 1.164305 2.512223 4.353853 6.857061
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018117 0.356775 1.215703 2.636706 4.581948 7.229012
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017103 0.367332 1.267049 2.761208 4.810243 7.601477
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016974 0.382170 1.326700 2.898405 5.055781 7.996205
2025-07-27 NaN 0.020499 0.415775 1.422733 3.090833 5.375741 8.486154